Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.008077 0.009092 0.010202 0.011509 0.013008 0.014680 0.016690
2025-01-05 0.006706 0.008139 0.009847 0.012043 0.014812 0.018209 0.022732
2025-01-12 0.005580 0.007103 0.009019 0.011629 0.015129 0.019713 0.026257
2025-01-19 0.004822 0.006374 0.008413 0.011323 0.015429 0.021102 0.029692
2025-01-26 0.004344 0.005933 0.008100 0.011322 0.016076 0.022972 0.033985
2025-02-02 0.004115 0.005793 0.008165 0.011829 0.017473 0.026048 0.040480
2025-02-09 0.003767 0.005441 0.007877 0.011767 0.017983 0.027815 0.045138
2025-02-16 0.003519 0.005205 0.007728 0.011885 0.018763 0.030075 0.050913
2025-02-23 0.003237 0.004890 0.007424 0.011714 0.019038 0.031509 0.055429
2025-03-02 0.003062 0.004721 0.007329 0.011864 0.019856 0.033950 0.062125
2025-03-09 0.002859 0.004489 0.007108 0.011776 0.020237 0.035647 0.067642
2025-03-16 0.002604 0.004153 0.006686 0.011296 0.019856 0.035880 0.070261
2025-03-23 0.002441 0.003964 0.006508 0.011252 0.020315 0.037846 0.076968
2025-03-30 0.002386 0.003953 0.006635 0.011778 0.021931 0.042324 0.089974
2025-04-06 0.002191 0.003684 0.006284 0.011374 0.021667 0.042932 0.094365
2025-04-13 0.002031 0.003464 0.006005 0.011076 0.021578 0.043890 0.099744
2025-04-20 0.001928 0.003338 0.005884 0.011075 0.022103 0.046242 0.108975
2025-04-27 0.001898 0.003343 0.006006 0.011570 0.023741 0.051326 0.126219
2025-05-04 0.001801 0.003215 0.005864 0.011509 0.024150 0.053616 0.136522
2025-05-11 0.001732 0.003135 0.005810 0.011624 0.024966 0.056999 0.150597
2025-05-18 0.001637 0.002999 0.005633 0.011457 0.025107 0.058724 0.160236
2025-05-25 0.001583 0.002938 0.005601 0.011604 0.026010 0.062525 0.177003
2025-06-01 0.001508 0.002833 0.005470 0.011518 0.026334 0.064856 0.189723